This article was published by the Canada Energy Regulator on May 29, 2024.
March 2024 ended with 744 billion cubic feet (Bcf) of natural gas in storage in Canada; 44 per cent higher than the end of March last year, and 55 per cent above the average of the last 5 years. Natural gas storage levels are relatively high entering spring this year for two main reasons:
- a mild winter
- high natural gas production
Natural gas storage balances supply and demand of natural gas. Typically, gas is withdrawn from storage in winter when natural gas heating demand is high and injected into storage in spring, summer, and fall when heating demand is lower. This winter was characterized by a strong El Niño(1), which meant warmer temperatures during the season than is average. Homes and businesses needed less natural gas for heating, so less natural gas was withdrawn from storage.
Strong natural gas production in western Canada(2) this winter also contributed to current storage levels. Despite a dip in production in January because of a cold snap, which froze many wells shut, production continued at a level above the previous 5 years from November 2023 to March 2024(3). Production in western Canada reached an average of 18.4 Bcf/d over the 2023/2024 winter season, compared to 17.8 Bcf/d in 2022/2023, and 16.8 Bcf/d in 2021/2022. For comparison, production was 15.6 Bcf/d in the 2015/2016 winter season.
Canada, typically in the spring, summer, and fall, produces more natural gas than it uses domestically. Any excess gas is either exported or stored. Market participants such as gas distributors and utilities will store some of this excess gas in the summer to prepare supply for their customers in the following winter. Producers, traders, or marketers might store gas in the summer hoping to sell it to distributors, power generators, or other consumers during the winter, when demand and prices are higher. By shifting this excess supply away from periods of lower demand and toward periods of higher demand, storage helps balance gas markets and reduces price volatility for both producers and consumers. Storage can also form an emergency reserve in the event of natural disasters or other disruptions to gas supply.
Exports of natural gas flow on pipelines and from LNG (liquefied natural gas) export facilities. Pipelines that export natural gas from the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin (WCSB) have been running near full capacity for the past few years(4). Key export points for the WCSB include the East Gate and West Gate on NGTL, the Huntington point on the Westcoast/Enbridge BC pipeline, and Elmore on the Alliance pipeline.(5) To address this, the market has increased export capacity by expanding some pipelines(6) regulated by the Canada Energy Regulator. This has relieved some bottlenecks, though constraints may still happen during the spring, summer, and fall, when major pipelines undergo maintenance, increasing the importance of access to storage. LNG exports are expected to rise with the start of new commercial operations of LNG Canada in 2025(7) and potential expansions or new LNG terminals in British Columbia(8).
Be the first to comment