Canadian oil
Source: EF2019
Description: The stacked area chart shows projected conventional, tight, and shale (non-oil sands) oil production, split by heavy and light, in the western provinces through 2040.
Western Canada by Type and Class: In 2010, western Canadian conventional, tight, and shale (non-oil sands production) was 933 thousand barrels per day (Mb/d). In 2019, non oil sands production was 1 089 Mb/d. In 2030, non-oil sands production is projected to be 1 358 Mb/d. In 2040, non oil sands production is projected to be 1 599 Mb/d, of which 52% is heavy and 48% is light. 2040’s production split out by type of oil, is 47% conventional, 48% tight, and 5% shale.
British Columbia (B.C.): In 2010, B.C. oil production was 22 Mb/d. In 2019, B.C. oil production was 22 Mb/d. In 2030, B.C. oil production is projected to be 35 Mb/d. In 2040, B.C. oil production is projected to be 45 Mb/d, of which 95% is light tight and 5% is light conventional.
Alberta: In 2010, Alberta non oil sands production was 459 Mb/d. In 2019, Alberta non oil sands production was 504 Mb/d. In 2030, Alberta non oil sands production is projected to be 583 Mb/d. In 2040, Alberta non oil sands production is projected to be 698 Mb/d, of which 54% is light tight, 20% is light conventional, 12% is light shale, 10% is heavy conventional and 3% is heavy tight.
Saskatchewan: In 2010, Saskatchewan oil production was 422 Mb/d. In 2019, Saskatchewan oil production was 529 Mb/d. In 2030, Saskatchewan oil production is projected to be 718 Mb/d. In 2040, Saskatchewan oil production is projected to be 834 Mb/d, of which 11% is light tight, 63% is heavy conventional, and 26% is heavy tight.
Manitoba: In 2010, Manitoba oil production was 30 Mb/d. In 2019, Manitoba oil production was 35 Mb/d. In 2030, Manitoba oil production is projected to be 22 Mb/d. In 2040, Manitoba oil production is projected to be 22 Mb/d, of which 20% is light conventional and 80% is light tight. To see an animated version of this graph, click here.
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