energy modelling graph

energy modelling graph

Source: Canada’s Energy Future 2023

Description: Canadian transportation energy mix and emissions under the Current Measures and Global Net-zero scenarios in the Canada’s Energy Future 2023 report. In Current Measures, total energy use stays relatively the same from 2021 to 2050. The energy mix changes, with fossil fuels making up ~95% of energy used for transportation in 2021 and declines to 85% by 2050, with the majority being replaced by bioenergy and electricity. In Current Measures, Transportation emissions decline after 2023 from 173 MtCO2e to 153 MtCO2e in 2050. In Global Net-zero, total energy use declines from 2,350 PJ in 2021 to 1,973 PJ by 2050. This decline is due to the efficiency gains from the adoption of electric vehicles. The energy mix changes substantially, with fossil fuels making up 95% of energy used for transportation in 2021 and declines to 12% by 2050. Electricity climbs from less than 1% of energy used in 2021 to 39% of energy used in 2050, hydrogen climbs from 0% in 2021 to 35% in 2050, and bioenergy climbs from 6% in 2021 to 14% in 2050. In Global Net-zero, emissions decline from 150 MtCO2e in 2021 to 15 MtCO2e in 2050.

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