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John Kemp

Student Resources

China rises and America is nervous

January 1, 2021 Energi Staff

Rating: High school and post-secondary Summary: Markham interviews John Kemp, a highly respected energy analyst, about the relative decline of the US and Western Europe as China becomes an economic and geopolitical powerhouse. The energy [Read more]

Opinion

Opinion: Growing US trade deficit points to suppressed inflation

March 6, 2019 Energi Staff

In 2018, the US trade deficit hit $621 billion, up over 12 per cent compared to the previous year.  This is still below the record high $761 billion set in 2006.   US trade deficit worsened [Read more]

Opinion

Opinion: Hedge funds carry on buying oil despite Trump intervention

March 4, 2019 Energi Staff

Hedge funds continued to boost their bullish position in crude and fuels last week despite a call from U.S. President Donald Trump for OPEC to “relax and take it easy”.  Anadarko photo by Mike Goldwater. [Read more]

Opinion

Opinion: NOPEC bills provide useful leverage for the White House

March 1, 2019 Energi Staff

NOPEC bills were introduced into the House of Representatives (HR 948) and the Senate (S 370) early last month, where they were referred to the respective judiciary committees for detailed consideration.  Bloomberg photo. NOPEC bills [Read more]

Opinion

Opinion: Investors are digging in for an age of anxiety

February 27, 2019 Energi Staff

Investors remain cautious despite reports of progress in trade talks between the United States and China and a much more dovish tone in recent comments from Federal Reserve policymakers. Looming US election, mature business cycle, [Read more]

Opinion

Opinion: Trump warns Saudis on oil prices as focus turns to re-election

February 25, 2019 Energi Staff

In a tweet on Monday, US President Donald Trump warned OPEC not to tighten the oil market too much and risk another jump in oil prices that could harm the global economy.  BP photo. Oil [Read more]

News

Opinion: US economy set to slow as fiscal stimulus fades

February 22, 2019 Energi Staff

The United States government’s receipts from taxes, social security contributions, customs duties and other items fell by 0.4 per cent in 2018, as reduced tax rates more than offset the impact of an expanding US [Read more]

Opinion

Opinion: Oil traders bet Saudi Arabia, White House lift oil prices

February 21, 2019 Energi Staff

Hedge fund managers are gambling on Saudi Arabia’s determination to tighten the market and lift oil prices plus a relatively tough sanctions policy from the White House to counteract weakness from other sources.  Repsol photo. [Read more]

Opinion

Opinion: Saudi Arabia resumes familiar role as swing producer

February 20, 2019 Energi Staff

Saudi Arabai has demonstrated, once again, that it can always tighten the physical market, boost prices and push the calendar spread into backwardation – if it is prepared to cut its own production enough.  Reuters [Read more]

Opinion

Hedge funds accelerate oil buying: Kemp

February 19, 2019 Energi Staff

Hedge funds now hold a net long position of 266 million barrels in Brent, up from 136 million at the start of December, though still far below the almost 500-million-barrel position at the end of [Read more]

Opinion

Opinion: Slowing US economy can ill afford any more shocks

February 19, 2019 Energi Staff

The available financial and real economic data suggests the US economy is poised between continued growth at a slower rate or the onset of a recession.  Port of Long Beach photo. US economy cannot afford [Read more]

Opinion

Opinion: Oil prices risk shift to upside

February 14, 2019 Energi Staff

Front-month Brent futures oil prices have jumped to almost $65 per barrel, up from just $50 in late December, and the highest for nearly three months.  Equinor photo by Ole Jørgen Bratland. Oil prices rise [Read more]

Opinion

Opinion: Venezuela sanctions leave oil market short of heavy crudes

February 12, 2019 Energi Staff

Venezuela’s heavy crudes, such as Merey, have few close substitutes, with the nearest being grades such as Brazil’s Marlim, Mexico’s Maya, Canada’s Bow River and Cold Lake, or Iraq’s Basra Heavy. Most heavy crudes have [Read more]

Opinion

Hedge funds crude buys slow but Venezuela supports diesel

February 11, 2019 Energi Staff

Hedge funds and other money managers increased their net long position in Brent crude futures and options for the eighth time in the last nine weeks but by just 1 million barrels.  Anadarko photo. Hedge [Read more]

Opinion

Opinion: Storytelling in oil and other markets

February 8, 2019 Energi Staff

Financial market movements, business cycles, oil cycles and even the rise and fall of companies, corporate leaders and politicians – none of them can be properly explained and predicted by the traditional narrative model.  Anadarko [Read more]

Opinion

Opinion: Oil and economy poised between growth and recession

February 7, 2019 Energi Staff

Policy makers and analysts may be justified in saying they are unusually uncertain, with the economy delicately poised between moderation and recession, and hyper-sensitive to even small shocks that could nudge it towards either eventuality.  [Read more]

Opinion

Opinion: Federal Reserve patience should be a warning to investors

January 31, 2019 Energi Staff

The Federal Reserve’s promise to be “patient” as it determines how to adjust interest rates in future has been welcomed by investors fearful that an economic slowdown could preface a slide into recession. Federal Reserve [Read more]

Opinion

US gasoline consumption stalls, adding to oil producers’ problems

January 29, 2019 Energi Staff

During the first 10 months of 2018, US gasoline consumption was flat as rising fuel prices offset the strong economy and big gains in employment.  Shell photo. US gasoline consumption averaged 9.34 million b/d between [Read more]

Opinion

Opinion: Hedge funds return to oil on OPEC cuts

January 28, 2019 Energi Staff

Hedge funds boosted oil and refined products buys last week on hopes of a U.S.-China trade truce and that the global economy will avoid a slowdown in 2019.  Equinor photo. Hedge funds buying concentrated in [Read more]

Opinion

Opinion: Oil prices in 2019? It’s all about the economy

January 24, 2019 Energi Staff

Oil prices will be influenced by the state of the global economy as well as US shale production growth, OPEC policy, US sanctions on Iran and possible US sanctions on Venezuela.  Encana photo. “Predict what [Read more] [Read more]

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In the Spotlight

Notley ignores energy and loses election again. Time for a new NDP leader

by Markham Hislop in Markham on Energy

Rachel Notley is not the person to craft or deliver a new energy vision for Alberta. She has proven that repeatedly over past 4 years How do you hope to be premier of Canada’s energy [Read more]

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